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As we head into the second half of winter, a moderate El Nino pattern that began in March is showing signs of strengthening in the Pacific Ocean. Forecasters in both Australia and the United States are calling for a high probability that El Nino will continue into early 2016, and multiple climate models are indicating this El Nino may end up being one of the strongest on record. As a result, significant changes to weather patterns are possible in Australia.

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As we head into the second half of summer, a moderate El Nino pattern that began in March is showing signs of strengthening in the Pacific Ocean. The official forecast from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) calls for a high probability—an 85% chance—that El Nino will continue into early 2016. Several climate models used by forecasters also indicate this El Nino could end up being one of the strongest on record, which would have major implications in the U.S. as weather patterns change.

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