Superstorm Sandy: A $70 Billion Storm

October 29th, 2017 will mark the 5th anniversary of Superstorm Sandy making landfall in southern New Jersey. Sandy had wide reaching impacts to the eastern half of the U.S. 24 states were directly affected in some way.

All totaled, Sandy’s cost to the U.S. is approximately $70 billion. This ranks as the second costliest weather & climate disaster on record. A closer look at the mainland U.S. impacts from Sandy are below.

Storm Surge

The hardest hit areas from Sandy included the New Jersey and New York coastlines. This is largely due to the immense storm surge that piled up against the coast when the Superstorm took its left-handed turn into New Jersey.

The highest recorded storm surge of 12.65 feet occurred at Kings Point, NY which is on the north shore of the Long Island Sound. Further, a storm surge of almost 3 feet or greater was observed in every East Coast state from Florida to Maine.

As is typical in many strong tropical cyclones, the storm surge is the biggest contributor to the cost of a storm.

According to the National Hurricane Center’s recap of Sandy, the Metropolitan Transit Authority in NYC reported that 8 subway tunnels were flooded as a result of storm surge. The estimated cost to repair damages to the tunnels is $5 billion. Furthermore, NYC estimates that Sandy will cost the entire city $19 billion mostly because of storm surge damage.

Winds

The most far-reaching impact from Sandy was the storm’s wind field. Before Sandy made landfall in New Jersey, tropical storm force winds reached a diameter of more than 1,000 miles. That is approximately the distance from Washington DC to Jacksonville, FL.

Additionally after Sandy made landfall, tropical storm force wind gusts were observed as far away as Wisconsin and Illinois!

Sandy’s winds were blamed for about 160,000 power outages in Florida, and several million outages farther north across the Mid-Atlantic states.

Rain

Once Sandy emerged from eastern Cuba, heavy rain pushed northward through the Bahamas as well as eastern Florida. As the storm underwent a transition from a tropical to non tropical system, the storm grew in size which helped push rain bands inland across the Southeast coast.

As is typical with systems of tropical origins that reach the mid latitudes, the heaviest rain was along and to the left of the storm track. Since Sandy took an unusual left-hand turn into New Jersey, this placed most of the heaviest rainfalls along and to the south of Sandy’s track. The exception was across interior New England where Atlantic moisture was rung out across the higher terrain of Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont.

The combination of strong winds and flooding from heavy rain caused more than $30 million in damages across Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and Pennsylvania.

Snow

The icing on the cake for Sandy’s status as a Superstorm was the injection of arctic air from a polar disturbance, which aided in pulling the storm towards the US coast. As precipitation spread westward across the Mid-Atlantic from the coast plain, it fell into an increasingly cold environment changing the rain over to snow across the Appalachians.

One to three feet of snow pasted much of the higher terrain above 2,500 feet from the southern Appalachians northward to southwestern Pennsylvania. The weight of the snow caused a number of structures to collapse as well as thousands to lose power.

Lessons Learned from Devastating Superstorm Sandy

In the last days of October 2012, meteorologists knew that a powerful storm threatened the densest population center in the United States. Hurricane Sandy had already plowed through portions of the northern Caribbean, causing billions of dollars worth of damage and claiming dozens of lives. Now the models suggested an unusual turn, not away from but towards the U.S. east coast. Forecasters worked frantically with emergency officials to make sure the public had all the information they needed to make life-and-death decisions.

But the severity of the storm still caught many off guard. Weather forecast agencies came under immediate criticism. Attempts to spread critical information had been hampered by faults in warning procedure and coordination. Unfortunately, these issues were exposed only by the pressure of a real emergency situation.

Sandy acquired several catchy if hyperbolic titles as it rolled towards the Northeast coast, including “Snowicane”, “Snor’eastercane”, and “Frankenstorm”. “Superstorm” was the one that stuck, even to the point of being used on government documents. But Sandy only had two official designations: “hurricane” and, later, “post-tropical cyclone”. That rather mundane latter term refers to a system that has transitioned from warm-core to cold-core. The difference lies in how the system gains energy. Warm-core systems (like hurricanes) tap energy directly from the warm tropical oceans. Conversely, cold-core systems (like nor’easters) draw strength from sharp temperature contrasts between air masses (i.e. warm and cold fronts). Virtually all tropical cyclones undergo the warm-to-cold transition as they move north, if they don’t dissipate first. However, most do it as they’re weakening over the open ocean.

 

Infrared Satellite loop from 29-October, 2012

 

Sandy was another story. Thanks to a merger with a strong upper level trough over the eastern U.S., Sandy actually gained power as it transitioned from tropical to post-tropical cyclone. In effect, it helped itself to portions of both warm- and cold-core energy sources. It also increased greatly in size, a major contributing factor to the storm surge that devastated long stretches of the East coast.

This ambiguity in terms is much more than a quibble about semantics. Thousands of insurance customers stood to save millions in insurance deductibles only due if the storm was still officially a hurricane at landfall. On the other hand, the lack of hurricane warnings and the drab “post-tropical cyclone” designation may have suggested that Sandy was less of a threat, resulting in a greater loss of life. Indeed, it may have influenced emergency preparations in New York City in this way. Mayor Bloomberg downplayed the impacts of the storm there in his initial media briefing. He only ordered mandatory evacuations as the storm was moving in.

 

A flooded subway station in Lower Manhattan. Courtesy MTA

 

The Battery Tunnel entrance underwater. Courtesy flickr user Timothy Krause

 

Prior to Sandy, jurisdiction over tropical vs. post-tropical cyclones was split between the National Hurricane Center and another group of agencies (including the National Weather Service), respectively. In the case of Sandy, the NHC had no license to issue hurricane warnings even though there was as much potential for destruction and loss-of-life as any hurricane. Warning messages from the NWS and other agencies covered the full range of impacts (winds, flooding rains, storm surge) well in advance. However, they didn’t possess the same weight and credibility as a National Hurricane Center hurricane warning.

In response to internal analysis and public and media criticism, the NWS, NHC and other agencies reorganized their procedures. The hurricane center can now issue warnings for hurricane-force conditions regardless of whether the cyclone is tropical or post-tropical. The goal is to ensure continuity of the warning messages. The disaster also spurred NOAA forecasters to greater participation in social media, encouraging a maximal outreach in severe weather emergencies.

Lead image courtesy: flickr user Anthony Quintano

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