Severe Thunderstorms Targets Southern Plains & Ohio Valley Tuesday

A strong low pressure system will move across the center of the US on Tuesday igniting scattered severe thunderstorms from Texas to Ohio.

Tuesday’s severe weather risk

The risk for severe thunderstorms will begin along a cold front during the midday hours across northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma, and up into central Missouri. As the cold front tracks eastward, it will move into an air mass that is increasingly favorable for the develop of gusty to severe thunderstorms.

Damaging winds and hail are the primary concerns with the strongest storms, however, frequent lightning and localized flash flooding can accompany almost any storm that develops.

Cities at risk for severe weather during the day Tuesday include: Dallas, Texas; Saint Louis, Missouri; and Indianapolis, Indiana.

The severe weather threat will shift eastward Tuesday evening to include cities such as Columbus, Ohio; Nashville, Tennessee; and Houston, Texas.

By later Tuesday night, most storms will have diminished below severe criteria.

April Snow Targets Mid-Atlantic, NYC

The calendar says April, but some communities across the northern Mid-Atlantic will wake up to snow Monday morning. No April fools joke!

The Details

A cold front crossed the area on Sunday bringing a fresh supply of chilly air from Canada. Meanwhile, a fast moving disturbance will move across Virginia and off the East Coast Monday morning.

A heavy, wet snow is expected to fall to the north of the track of the storm. The heaviest accumulations are expected from Pennsylvania eastward to central New Jersey and southeast New York state.

A map of expected snow totals Sunday night and Monday morning

This includes cities such as Pittsburgh, State College, and New York Sunday night into early Monday.

Most of the accumulations will occur on grassy and non-paved surfaces, however, if the snow comes down hard enough some roadways will become slushy and snow covered.

The snow is expected to affect the Monday morning commute from Philadelphia up to New York and into southern New England. The snow will be long gone by the Monday afternoon and evening commute.

For New York City, measurable April snow can happen, but they are not a common occurrence. Check out this list of the top 7 April snowstorms for New York dating back to 1868.

Major Flooding Risk For Central QLD Coast

A slow moving tropical low pressure system over the Coral Sea has strengthen into TC Iris on Monday. Iris will bring rounds of heavy thundery rain to the central QLD coast this week. The precipitation will bring the threat for major flooding from Ingham to Townsville to Mackay.

The Details

Iris will move slowly toward the central QLD coast this week. If the center of the storm stays out over water this week, the Iris could continue to strengthen some this week.

Regardless of strength, a persistent onshore flow will bring an abundance of moisture and numerous rounds of heavy precipitation to the central QLD coast.

Weather setup for significant flooding this week

Extreme rainfall amounts are possible, particularly right along the coast. 5-day rain totals of 200-400 mm are possible. That is a rate of about 50-75 mm each day this week.

These types of falls will bring the risk for major and widespread flooding along the central QLD coast. Mudslides, washed out roads, and building damage due to flood waters are likely in regions that experience the heaviest rain.

Total rainfall expected from Monday through Thursday

Iris is expected to gradually weaken by this upcoming weekend. This will bring an end to the heaviest rainfall, however, scattered thundery showers are still expected to persist.

US Easter Day Forecast

Millions of Christians across the US will celebrate Easter on Sunday. What is the weather outlook for the holiday weekend?

Northeast

A cold front will cross the Northeast later Saturday afternoon and Saturday night. This will usher in a fresh chilly air mass to the region. Snow showers will whiten some landscapes across the mountainous areas of New York and New England, while blustery and dry conditions persist elsewhere.

Highlights:
  • Brisk and chilly
  • Mountain snow showers

Southeast

The cold front crossing the Northeast will stall out just north of the area. Consequently, mainly dry weather is expected across the Carolinas back to Louisiana. Easterly winds off of the Atlantic Ocean will bring some scattered showers to the Florida peninsula.

Highlights:
  • Mild and mostly dry
  • Scattered showers across the Florida peninsula

Central States

Some precipitation will develop across the Mississippi Valley along the end of the cold front. A mix of rain, sleet, and snow will fall across Missouri, while mainly rain falls from Oklahoma through Tennessee. Across the northern Plains, seasonably cold air will dominate Easter Weekend with temperatures failing to get to 0°C in the coldest locations.

Highlights:
  • Unsettled across the Mississippi Valley
  • Cold in the northern Plains

Northwest

An area of low pressure will move into the Northwest bringing a mix of valley rain showers and mountain snow. Snow levels will start the weekend between 1,200-1,500 meters, but then fall to around 500 meters on Easter Sunday. A fresh 10-20 cm of snow is likely above 1,500 meters, while 5-10 cm of snow is expected between 500-1,500 meters.

Highlights:
  • Valley rain showers and mountain snow
  • Snow level ~1,500 meters dropping to 500 meters

Southwest

Tranquil weather will dominate the Southwest for Easter weekend. Cool and crisp mornings will give way to mostly sunny and warm afternoons for many locations. Along the central and southern California coast, patchy morning fog will be around before the sun is able to burn through the fog by midday.

Highlights:
  • Dry and warm for many locations
  • Patchy fog along the California coast