Category: Posts EN

Serious Flood Threat for the Eastern Appalachians!

Written by Team Morecast

 

This summer’s pattern of wet weather in the Eastern U.S. is getting a fresh influx of tropical moisture. Persistent south to southeast flow will bring moisture up to the eastern slopes of the Appalachians. Expect flash flooding through tonight and Thursday.

 

 

Torrential rain has been falling today across portions of the mid-South and Gulf Coast, up to 6-8 inches (150-200 mm) in spots (see above). Flash flooding affected the city of Mobile in southern Alabama earlier today:

 

 

For tonight and Thursday, the main flood threat will shift towards the foothills and east-facing slopes of the southern and central Appalachians, from Georgia and South Carolina up to Pennsylvania. Many areas will see 1-3 inches (25-75 mm) with 3-6 inches (75-150 mm) more common in the foothills and mountains. Significant flash flooding will be the result – extreme caution is advised for anyone traveling near or through the mountains in the next few days. Mudslides could also affect secondary roads.

 

July 2018 Weather Recap For United States

Written by Meteo Expert Josef Lukas

July 2018 brought a smattering of temperature and precipitation extremes to the United States.

The western US experienced a very dry month that exacerbated wildfire issues, while portions of the Mid-Atlantic saw record rainfall that lead to flooding problems. Below are several maps that break down the temperature and precipitation departures across more than 800 climate stations over the contiguous US for July 2018.

Temperature Departures

Temperatures across the US favored warmer than average conditions over cooler than average by a ratio of more than 3:1. Some cities that have (unofficially) set new record July mean high temperatures include: Key West, Florida, Albany, New York, Caribou, Maine, and Long Beach, California.

Some locations from the Midwest to the central Appalachians experienced a cooler than average July. Burkes Garden, Virginia has (unofficially) experienced it’s coldest mean July temperature on record.

Precipitation Departures

Precipitation departures varied widely across the contiguous US, which highlights the hit-and-miss nature of summertime thunderstorms.

In additional to being hot, much of California and the Pacific Northwest were drier than average. Meanwhile farther east, the northern Mid-Atlantic experienced a very wet July that was highlighted by a week of heavy rain and storms during the latter part of the month.

Some bigger cities that saw their record wettest July on record include Baltimore, Maryland and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

Temperature and Precipitation Records

While official temperature and precipitation values for July are still being evaluated for quality control, as it stands on 1-August there are 90 climate stations across the US that have set or tied a new July temperature or precipitation record.

Another Active Severe Storm Day in the High Plains!

Written by Team Morecast

 

Severe storms have ripped down through the High Plains for much of the past week, producing everything from tornadoes to huge hail and destructive winds. Today was no exception as meteorologists watched an intense supercell move all the way from near Cheyenne to eastern Colorado. The NWS Doppler radar site at Front Range Airport just east of Denver captured the evolution of the storm (animation below).

 

 

You can see the storm initially just south of the Colorado-Wyoming border at the top of the screen. It moves on a south-southeast trajectory, at times displaying the intense spinning motion that contributes to giant hail and tornadoes. Reflectivity values are near the radar’s max, indicating the presence of either large hail or torrential rain, or both. Spotters along the path of this storm reported numerous hail stones of 2-3 inches (5-7.5 cm) in diameter, wind gusts of 70-85 mph (110-135 kph), and a few tornadoes.

 

 

You might also spot the outflow front pushed out by the severe storms while they were near the state line. It’s the thin green line that moves directly towards Denver and the radar site (the radar is located where you see the small hole in radar values at the center of the screen). You might also notice that part of the line deforms and seems to hang back just south of the radar site compared to other parts of the outflow to the west and east. That’s the outflow front hitting a small bank of hills and slowing down!

 

 

We can also detect the outflow front’s arrival at Denver International Airport, located northwest of the radar site. The record of observations from the airport shown above tells the story. Winds for much of the day were from the north at about 10-15 mph (15-25 kph). The outflow arrives at about 5:45 pm LT – winds quickly shifted to the northeast, gusting to 50 mph (80 kph). At the same time temperatures dropped from the lower and middle 80s to the middle 60s. Note that skies remain mostly sunny through this period with no storms in the vicinity.

Wildfire Near Redding, California Still Raging Thanks to Hot, Dry Weather

Written by Team Morecast

 

The so-called Carr, CA wildfire that was sparked earlier this week has consumed more than 80,000 acres and 500 homes. Tragically, it’s also claimed five lives, including two firefighters and two young children along with their great-grandmother while they were preparing to evacuate. The forecast calls for continued hot, dry weather in the upcoming week. That’s bad news for the thousands of fire-fighting personnel who have only managed to contain five percent of the blaze so far.

 

 

The last few months have been almost totally dry around Redding. The last measurable rainfall recorded at Redding Airport was on May 25-26, and before that you have to go back to April 28th. Adding to that is the above-normal temperatures that have plagued much of the West for weeks. High temperatures in Redding have averaged over 103 degrees in the month of July (see graph above). On only three days was the high less than 96 degrees. The forecast calls for highs well above 100 degrees through the next week under sunny skies (forecast below).

 

 

A fire like the one raging near Redding is so large that it can create its own local weather effects. Pyrocumulus clouds created by large wildfires can tower tens of thousands of feet above the ground, inhibiting fire-fighting efforts and coordination from the air. The tremendous heat generated by large wildfires creates strong inflowing winds. These winds, combined with the updraft created by hot, rising air can cause fire whirlwinds in a process not much different than tornadoes! Lead photo courtesy USAF – Master Sgt. Christopher DeWitt.