Category: Posts EN

Typhoon Soulik Targets Korean Peninsula Next Week!

Written by Team Morecast

 

Typhoon Soulik was nearly stationary over the western Pacific on Saturday, but has now turned slowly northwest. This dangerous cyclone will pass near the Japanese island of Kyushu before slamming South Korea by the middle of next week!

 

 

Soulik is a compact but powerful typhoon producing sustained winds of up to 200 kph. Steering currents support a west-northwestward track over the next few days, followed by a turn to the north by the middle of next week. A landfall over southern Japan is not out of the question. However, the latest guidance supports a track a bit further to the west, just missing Kyushu. That would put South Korea in the crosshairs.

 

 

The environment ahead of the storm in the next few days is broadly supportive of steady strength, if not slight intensification. As the storm moves near Japan, sea surface temperatures cool. Some weakening is likely before a Korean landfall. However, Soulik will still be a strong, potentially destructive system. Damaging winds and flooding rains are likely on Kyushu Tuesday into Wednesday, and the Korean Peninsula Wednesday and beyond.

Lane Expected To Become A Major Hurricane & Pass South Of Hawaii Next Week

Written by Meteo Expert Josef Lukas

Lane developed in the Eastern Pacific Ocean on Tuesday and achieved hurricane status on Thursday. The cyclone is expected to reach major hurricane status (category 3 or higher) this weekend.

Environment conditions will be ideal for Lane to strengthen over the next several days. Wind shear is weak, and sea surface temperatures are between 28-30°C.

Lane is expected to acquire major hurricane status this weekend. Major hurricanes contain sustained winds that are 96 kts and greater.

Initially, Lane will be tracking toward the northwest through Sunday. Beyond this weekend, a ridge of high pressure north of Hawaii will try and force Lane to take a more westerly track next week.

If the ridge is weaker than expected, Lane could take a track closer to Hawaii. However, a stronger ridge of high pressure would force Lane farther to the south away from Hawaii.

Many Mid-Atlantic Cities Set To Have Wettest Summer On Record

Written by Meteo Expert Josef Lukas

Residents across the Mid-Atlantic have experienced day after day of tropical downpours in recent weeks setting the stage for many locations to have their wettest summer on record.

Across Pennsylvania, Maryland, and northern Virginia there are 10 locations experiencing their wettest summer on record. The data is based on meteorological summer which covers the months of June, July, and August.

Looking back to mid May, many locations in the Mid-Atlantic have seen 20-30 inches (~500-760 mm) in a 90-day period. Several rain events this summer have lead to moderate and even major flooding problems for some communities.

The copious amounts of rain since mid-May have lead to rainfall departures of 8-16 inches (200-400 mm) in a 90-day period.

Strongest Winds of the Australian Winter Target Tasmania Late Tuesday into Wednesday!

Written by Team Morecast

 

Spring isn’t far away down under, but winter has at least one more punch saved up for the southeast, especially Tasmania. The strongest winds of the season, accompanied by locally heavy rains and mountain snows, will affect the island Tuesday into Wednesday.

 

 

The rocky island of Tasmania is accustomed to gusty winds, especially during the winter months. The table above shows the max wind gusts from the season so far. The mountain peaks and exposed islands and peninsulas see peak wind gusts exceeding 100 kph on more days than not. However, gusts greater than 130-140 kph are rare. The next system to move across the Bight will be as highly energetic in the upper levels as any we’ve seen this winter. That will translate down to the surface as destructive winds, potentially the strongest of the season for many areas.

 

 

Gusts of at least 80-110 kph will be widespread, including the major population centers like Hobart and Launceston. Most of the coastal areas and higher terrain will see gusts of 100-120 kph. Known wind prone areas like Maatsuyker Island and Mt. Wellington could see gusts approach 150 kph! Strong winds will also affect portions of South Australia, Victoria, and New South Wales.

The danger from snow and rain will be relatively localized. However, totals amounts exceeding 100 mm in the western mountains will lead to some localized flooding. In addition, rain-weakened soils will be more likely to lead to trees coming down in high winds. Wind-driven snow will also be a visibility hazard at the highest peaks.